Stanislaus County, California, CA

California · Presidential Elections 18762024

R+10.9
2024 Margin
R+11.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
553K
Population

Stanislaus County, California voted R+10.9 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 106,986 votes (53.88%). This represented a R+11.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+10.9
2020→2024 SwingR+11.7%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record38

Demographics

Population552,878
Median Age
34.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
19.1%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$74,872(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
49.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
2.9%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
6.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.4%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
35.2%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
21.0%(+2.3 vs US)
Evangelical
11.3%(-5.2 vs US)
LDS/Mormon
2.2%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%(-4.3 vs US)
Black Protestant
0.5%(-1.7 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:34.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.9%
18-29
9.3%
30-44
21.0%
45-64
29.2%
65+
13.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
ManufacturingAbove avg
12.3%
Retail Trade
11.4%
ConstructionAbove avg
8.9%
Professional ServicesBelow avg
8.4%
Education
8.3%
AgricultureVery high
5.0%
Political relevance:
Agriculture: Farm bill, rural RHealthcare: ACA debates
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202443.0%(85,347)53.9%(106,986)R+10.9R+11.7
202049.0%(105,841)48.2%(104,145)D+0.8R+1.0
201646.8%(81,647)45.0%(78,494)D+1.8R+0.9
201249.9%(77,724)47.1%(73,459)D+2.7D+1.0
200849.7%(80,279)48.0%(77,497)D+1.7D+20.0
200440.4%(58,829)58.6%(85,407)R+18.3R+9.9
200044.0%(56,448)52.4%(67,188)R+8.4R+9.5
199645.9%(53,738)44.8%(52,403)D+1.1R+2.9
199241.0%(52,415)36.9%(47,275)D+4.0D+11.2
198845.9%(44,685)53.1%(51,648)R+7.2D+12.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201842.9%(58,375)0.0%(0)D+42.9D+39.3
201251.8%(78,470)48.2%(73,060)D+3.6D+0.5
200649.3%(50,656)46.2%(47,513)D+3.1R+0.7
200048.2%(60,610)44.5%(55,919)D+3.7D+16.7
199438.9%(38,414)51.9%(51,224)R+13.0R+21.5
199250.1%(62,110)41.6%(51,549)D+8.5D+17.8
198844.0%(42,440)53.3%(51,423)R+9.3D+4.1
198241.0%(30,786)54.4%(40,874)R+13.4R+12.6
197647.9%(33,826)48.7%(34,408)R+0.8R+25.4
197061.5%(38,552)36.9%(23,119)D+24.6D+14.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201849.2%(77,220)50.8%(79,751)R+1.6R+4.7
201451.5%(46,566)48.5%(43,786)D+3.1D+9.4
201043.6%(52,510)49.9%(60,084)R+6.3D+27.8
200630.8%(31,981)64.9%(67,427)R+34.1R+29.8
200243.6%(41,908)47.9%(46,091)R+4.3R+8.0
199850.7%(50,793)47.0%(47,095)D+3.7D+29.5
199434.9%(35,080)60.7%(60,992)R+25.8R+14.4
199042.1%(37,182)53.5%(47,275)R+11.4D+32.4
198627.2%(20,481)71.0%(53,505)R+43.9R+29.3
198241.4%(32,276)55.9%(43,639)R+14.6R+31.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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