Chase County, Kansas: Rural GOP Stronghold

Kansas · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+50.8
2024 Margin
D+1.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1940
Voting Streak
3K
Population

Chase County, Kansas voted R+50.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 1,090 votes (74.56%). This represented a D+1.4% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+50.8
2020→2024 SwingD+1.4%
Voting StreakR since 1940
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population2,572
Median Age
44.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
29.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$52,481(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
8.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
71.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.0%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
CatholicSwing vote
11.1%(-7.6 vs US)
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
10.2%(+5.0 vs US)
EvangelicalStrongly R
8.7%(-7.8 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:44.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
21.0%
18-29Lean D, low turnout
6.4%
30-44Swing voters
17.2%
45-64Lean R, high turnout
31.4%
65+Lean R, highest turnout
24.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
ManufacturingVery high
18.4%
AgricultureVery high
12.4%
Education
8.5%
HealthcareVery low
6.6%
Retail TradeBelow avg
6.3%
ConstructionBelow avg
3.7%
Political relevance:
Manufacturing: Trade policy sensitiveAgriculture: Farm bill, rural RHealthcare: ACA debates
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.8%(348)74.6%(1,090)R+50.8D+1.4
202023.1%(345)75.3%(1,123)R+52.2R+4.5
201623.1%(316)70.8%(969)R+47.7R+7.0
201228.2%(358)68.8%(875)R+40.7D+2.2
200827.7%(383)70.5%(976)R+42.9R+0.4
200427.9%(418)70.3%(1,055)R+42.4R+7.7
200029.7%(391)64.4%(848)R+34.7R+16.5
199632.0%(496)50.2%(778)R+18.2R+9.9
199227.9%(470)36.2%(610)R+8.3D+15.4
198836.9%(538)60.6%(884)R+23.7D+25.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202220.8%(245)76.3%(898)R+55.5R+12.8
202026.2%(390)68.9%(1,025)R+42.7D+11.9
201619.7%(271)74.3%(1,021)R+54.5D+5.4
20140.0%(0)59.9%(649)R+59.9D+6.2
201015.2%(163)81.3%(874)R+66.1R+22.4
200826.6%(366)70.4%(967)R+43.7D+11.1
200420.8%(302)75.6%(1,100)R+54.9D+32.4
20020.0%(0)87.3%(932)R+87.3R+51.2
199830.5%(267)66.5%(583)R+36.1R+22.0
199641.0%(625)55.0%(839)R+14.0D+5.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202239.1%(463)58.4%(692)R+19.3R+1.8
201836.1%(440)53.6%(653)R+17.5R+4.0
201440.7%(440)54.2%(586)R+13.5D+31.4
201024.7%(265)69.6%(747)R+44.9R+28.4
200641.2%(487)57.7%(682)R+16.5R+26.2
200253.8%(605)44.1%(496)D+9.7D+63.9
199820.1%(176)74.4%(650)R+54.2R+20.6
199433.2%(418)66.8%(841)R+33.6R+32.9
199043.6%(525)44.3%(534)R+0.8D+14.3
198642.5%(566)57.5%(767)R+15.1R+23.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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