Caldwell County, North Carolina: Deep Red Country
North Carolina · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+52.5
2024 Margin
R+1.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
81K
Population
Caldwell County, North Carolina voted R+52.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 33,009 votes (75.81%). This represented a R+1.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+52.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.4%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population80,652
Median Age
45.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
18.6%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$52,362(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.8%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
74.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
12.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.3%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Evangelical
43.4%(+26.9 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
6.3%(+1.1 vs US)
Catholic
5.0%(-13.7 vs US)
Black Protestant
1.6%(-0.6 vs US)
LDS/Mormon
0.7%(-1.3 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:45.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.9%↓
18-29
7.7%↓
30-44
16.8%↓
45-64
34.5%↑
65+
21.2%↑
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSManufacturingVery high
21.5%Retail Trade
11.6%Education
7.9%Construction
7.6%Professional ServicesBelow avg
6.3%HealthcareVery low
4.9%Political relevance:
Manufacturing: Trade policy sensitiveHealthcare: ACA debates
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.3%(10,146) | 75.8%(33,009) | R+52.5 | R+1.4 |
| 2020 | 23.9%(10,245) | 75.0%(32,119) | R+51.1 | R+1.0 |
| 2016 | 23.2%(8,425) | 73.3%(26,621) | R+50.1 | R+14.6 |
| 2012 | 31.4%(10,898) | 66.9%(23,229) | R+35.5 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 34.4%(12,081) | 64.1%(22,526) | R+29.7 | D+6.0 |
| 2004 | 31.9%(9,999) | 67.6%(21,186) | R+35.7 | R+2.2 |
| 2000 | 32.9%(8,588) | 66.4%(17,337) | R+33.5 | R+13.4 |
| 1996 | 35.1%(8,050) | 55.2%(12,653) | R+20.1 | R+6.3 |
| 1992 | 35.3%(9,033) | 49.0%(12,543) | R+13.7 | D+18.0 |
| 1988 | 34.1%(7,862) | 65.8%(15,176) | R+31.7 | D+8.1 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22.9%(6,404) | 74.9%(20,900) | R+51.9 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 24.3%(10,288) | 70.8%(29,971) | R+46.5 | D+0.8 |
| 2016 | 23.8%(8,538) | 71.1%(25,532) | R+47.3 | R+13.8 |
| 2014 | 29.8%(6,258) | 63.3%(13,309) | R+33.5 | D+0.4 |
| 2010 | 31.4%(6,908) | 65.4%(14,382) | R+34.0 | R+20.8 |
| 2008 | 40.7%(14,310) | 53.9%(18,925) | R+13.1 | D+14.2 |
| 2004 | 35.4%(11,079) | 62.7%(19,612) | R+27.3 | R+6.1 |
| 2002 | 38.1%(8,511) | 59.3%(13,245) | R+21.2 | R+10.9 |
| 1998 | 43.6%(7,190) | 54.0%(8,897) | R+10.4 | D+17.1 |
| 1996 | 35.4%(8,409) | 62.9%(14,918) | R+27.4 | R+5.1 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.3%(12,932) | 64.5%(27,563) | R+34.2 | D+8.7 |
| 2020 | 27.9%(11,926) | 70.8%(30,234) | R+42.9 | R+1.1 |
| 2016 | 27.8%(10,055) | 69.6%(25,173) | R+41.8 | D+7.9 |
| 2012 | 24.1%(8,402) | 73.8%(25,771) | R+49.8 | R+21.6 |
| 2008 | 34.6%(12,187) | 62.7%(22,096) | R+28.1 | R+19.6 |
| 2004 | 44.9%(14,061) | 53.4%(16,724) | R+8.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2000 | 41.2%(10,963) | 56.2%(14,958) | R+15.0 | R+9.4 |
| 1996 | 46.7%(11,140) | 52.2%(12,469) | R+5.6 | D+1.1 |
| 1992 | 44.3%(11,593) | 50.9%(13,333) | R+6.7 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 39.0%(8,995) | 61.0%(14,047) | R+21.9 | R+0.4 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab