Williamson County, Tennessee: Deep Red Country

Tennessee · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+32.4
2024 Margin
R+6.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
248K
Population

Williamson County, Tennessee voted R+32.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 94,562 votes (65.36%). This represented a R+6.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+32.4
2020→2024 SwingR+6.3%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population247,726
Median Age
40.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
61.8%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$125,943(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
5.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
5.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
4.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.5%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.8%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
EvangelicalStrongly R
31.7%(+15.2 vs US)
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
10.7%(+5.5 vs US)
CatholicSwing vote
9.4%(-9.3 vs US)
Black ProtestantStrongly D
1.2%(-1.0 vs US)
LDS/MormonHistorically R
0.8%(-1.2 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:40.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
26.3%
18-29Lean D, low turnout
7.9%
30-44Swing voters
15.4%
45-64Lean R, high turnout
36.2%
65+Lean R, highest turnout
14.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
Professional ServicesAbove avg
15.7%
Retail Trade
11.3%
Education
8.6%
ManufacturingBelow avg
7.6%
HealthcareVery low
4.6%
ConstructionBelow avg
4.6%
Political relevance:
Healthcare: ACA debates

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.0%(47,695)65.4%(94,562)R+32.4R+6.3
202036.1%(50,161)62.2%(86,469)R+26.1D+8.9
201629.2%(31,013)64.2%(68,212)R+35.0D+11.5
201226.1%(25,142)72.6%(69,850)R+46.5R+7.0
200829.8%(27,886)69.3%(64,858)R+39.5D+5.4
200427.3%(21,732)72.1%(57,451)R+44.8R+10.3
200032.1%(18,745)66.6%(38,901)R+34.5R+7.0
199633.6%(15,231)61.0%(27,699)R+27.5R+5.2
199232.5%(13,053)54.8%(22,015)R+22.3D+22.7
198827.3%(7,864)72.3%(20,847)R+45.0R+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.5%(46,785)65.8%(94,791)R+33.3D+1.4
202031.6%(43,432)66.2%(91,155)R+34.7R+16.2
201840.4%(42,611)58.9%(62,039)R+18.4D+32.3
201421.5%(12,660)72.3%(42,501)R+50.8D+8.5
201217.9%(16,789)77.2%(72,402)R+59.3R+5.3
200821.5%(19,405)75.5%(68,258)R+54.0R+19.4
200632.2%(19,682)66.9%(40,852)R+34.6D+6.4
200229.1%(15,044)70.2%(36,272)R+41.1D+21.6
200017.4%(9,768)80.1%(44,850)R+62.7R+9.9
199622.9%(10,141)75.8%(33,495)R+52.8R+12.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201832.8%(34,647)64.5%(68,189)R+31.8D+34.8
201413.2%(7,501)79.7%(45,329)R+66.5R+4.8
201018.3%(11,085)80.1%(48,518)R+61.8R+77.7
200657.6%(35,058)41.7%(25,384)D+15.9D+32.5
200241.3%(21,358)57.9%(29,965)R+16.6D+43.6
199819.3%(5,045)79.6%(20,776)R+60.2R+50.9
199445.1%(15,826)54.5%(19,107)R+9.3R+22.3
199055.4%(7,846)42.4%(6,016)D+12.9D+37.8
198637.5%(7,683)62.5%(12,782)R+24.9D+19.5
198227.8%(4,862)72.2%(12,623)R+44.4R+8.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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