- Drafted the plan
- Found il_hd_59
- Writing the big picture (2)
- Drawing the map (3)
- Charting the trend (4)
- Reading the demographics (5)
- Building the comparison (6)
Illinois House District 59 as a presidential geography — its margin, demographic composition, and how it sits relative to Illinois…
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Illinois House District 59 as a presidential geography — its margin, demographic composition, and how it sits relative to Illinois…
Illinois ran D+10.9 in 2024, a 6.0-pt rightward move from D+16.9 in 2020 and part of a 14.2-pt leftward arc unwinding off Obama's D+25.1 in 2008. The state now sits 12.3 points to the left of the national R+1.4 result — a divergence wide enough to mask precinct-level patterns inside districts like HD-59. Non-Hispanic white residents are 42.2% of the population, and 37.9% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, the demographic floor holding the state's margin against the cycle-over-cycle drift.
The big picture
Headline numbers at a glance
Illinois voted D+10.9 in 2024, a 6.0-point rightward shift from D+16.9 in 2020. Turnout came in at 58.5%, with the underlying lean score sitting at D+13.3.
- D+13.3
- D+16.9
- 58.5%
On the map
Where the answer lives
IL, the full state outline.
- IL
- 1 region · IL
- 39.07°N, 89.01°W
- 6
- 4.49° × 5.54°
Over time
Cycle-by-cycle arc
IL-HD-59 shifted 14.2 points right between 2008 and 2024, landing at D+10.9 after starting at D+25.1 under Obama. Most of that erosion came in two cycles: an 8.3-point rightward move from 2008 to 2012, then a 6.0-point move from 2020 to 2024. The middle of the span was flat — the margin barely budged across 2012, 2016, and 2020, holding within 0.1 points of D+16.9 each cycle. The 2024 result is the district's weakest Democratic margin in the 16-year window.
Shifted 14.2 pts left across 16 years.
Who lives there
Population, income, education
Illinois is plurality white at 61.0% (roughly 42.2% non-Hispanic white) across 12.69 million people, with a voting-age population of 9.64 million. Hispanic residents make up 18.8% of the state and 14.75% are foreign-born. Median household income sits at $84,844, 37.9% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, and 11.8% live in poverty.
Population & people
- 12,694,798
- 9,636,291
- 14.8%
Education & income
- $84,844
- 37.9%
- 11.8%
Methodology & sources (4)
How it compares
Against county, state, and national
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IL | D+16.9 | D+16.9 | D+10.9 | -14.2 pts |
| United States | D+2.1 | D+4.5 | R+1.4 | -3.5 pts |
- IL-14.2 pts
- D+16.9
- D+16.9
- D+10.9
- United States-3.5 pts
- D+2.1
- D+4.5
- R+1.4
Cite this answer
Akashic Atlas, "Illinois House District 59 as a presidential geography — its margin, demographic composition, and how it sits relative to Illinois…", answer ID 1WPi_aJHj5sC, generated 2026-04-29, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/1WPi_aJHj5sC
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