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2026 elections

Live forecast

The full 2026 board: every Senate, governor, and House race on the ballot, plus the polling and forecasts underneath. Updated as the ground shifts.

2026 Forecast at a Glance

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Senate

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51D–48R

8 competitive of 35 contested (51 for majority)

Governor

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30D–20R

8 competitive of 36 contested (26 for majority)

House

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236D–199R

D range: 224–248 seats (218 for majority)

Races to watch

16 worth watching
KSGovernor
Tilt D
Open Seat
Ethan Corsonvs.Jeff Sarnecki
AKGovernor
Tilt D
Open Seat
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkinsvs.Matt Heilala
NESenate
Tilt I
Incumbent: Pete Ricketts(R)
Pete Ricketts
IASenate
Tilt R
Open Seat
Josh Turekvs.Ashley Hinson
TXSenate
Tilt R
Incumbent: John Cornyn(R)
James Talaricovs.John Cornyn
NHGovernor
Tilt R
Incumbent: Kelly Ayotte(R)
Cinde Warmingtonvs.Kelly Ayotte
MISenate
Lean D
Open Seat
Haley Stevensvs.Mike Rogers
MESenate
Lean D
Incumbent: Susan Collins(R)
Janet Millsvs.Susan Collins
AKSenate
Lean D
Incumbent: Dan Sullivan(R)
Mary Peltolavs.Dan Sullivan
OHSenate(Special)
Lean D
Open Seat
Sherrod Brownvs.Jon Husted
GAGovernor
Lean D
Open Seat
Keisha Lance Bottomsvs.Rick Jackson
MIGovernor
Lean D
Open Seat
Jocelyn Bensonvs.John James
WIGovernor
Lean D
Open Seat
Mandela Barnesvs.Tom Tiffany
NVGovernor
Lean D
Incumbent: Joe Lombardo(R)
Aaron Fordvs.Joe Lombardo
KSSenate
Lean R
Incumbent: Roger Marshall(R)
Christy Davisvs.Roger Marshall
FLGovernor
Lean R
Open Seat
David Jollyvs.Byron Donalds
Polling trackersAll elections