{
  "budget": {
    "max_blocks": 80000,
    "max_ms_total": 14000,
    "max_narrator_tokens": 4500
  },
  "sections": [
    {
      "type": "overview",
      "ordinal": 1,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    },
    {
      "type": "shape_map",
      "ordinal": 2,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    },
    {
      "type": "flip_analysis",
      "ordinal": 3,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    },
    {
      "type": "historical_trend",
      "ordinal": 4,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    },
    {
      "type": "demographic_lens",
      "ordinal": 5,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    },
    {
      "type": "comparison_table",
      "ordinal": 6,
      "depends_on": [
        "maricopa"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "data_pulls": [
    {
      "kind": "reaggregation",
      "cycles": [
        2024,
        2020,
        2016,
        2012,
        2008
      ],
      "shape_label": "maricopa"
    },
    {
      "kind": "demographics",
      "shape_label": "maricopa"
    },
    {
      "kind": "history",
      "cycles": [
        2024,
        2020,
        2016,
        2012,
        2008
      ],
      "shape_label": "maricopa"
    },
    {
      "kind": "similar_peers",
      "options": {
        "question": "Census places (cities) within Maricopa County, AZ ranked by 2020 to 2024 presidential margin swing toward Republicans, returning margin_2020, margin_2024, swing magnitude, and place population"
      },
      "shape_label": "maricopa"
    }
  ],
  "plan_version": 1,
  "narrative_angle": {
    "overall_frame": "Maricopa's 2020 to 2024 flip decomposed by sub-geography and five-cycle trajectory.",
    "avoid_emphasizing": [
      "Causal claims about specific demographic groups 'driving' the swing without numeric evidence from the data",
      "Generic 'Latino shift' or 'suburban realignment' framing without Maricopa-specific numbers",
      "Attributing the flip to a single factor, group, or narrative shortcut"
    ],
    "headline_emphasis": "The exact 2020 to 2024 margin swing for Maricopa and which cities within it concentrated the shift"
  },
  "resolution_strategy": {
    "primary_shape": [
      {
        "tool": "lookup_geography",
        "params": {
          "query": "Maricopa County, AZ",
          "preferred_geo_types": [
            "county"
          ]
        },
        "output_label": "maricopa"
      }
    ],
    "comparison_shapes": [
      {
        "role": "containing_state"
      },
      {
        "role": "national"
      }
    ]
  },
  "confidence_rationale": "Named county with full MV coverage across 5 cycles and a clean D→R flip between 2020 and 2024; sub-geography city breakdown available via Historian city-swing template.",
  "question_interpretation": {
    "summary": "Analysis of Maricopa County, Arizona's 2020 to 2024 presidential swing: magnitude, sub-geographic concentration within the county, and demographic composition of the shift.",
    "ambiguity_notes": [
      "Interpreting 'what drove the swing' as surfacing where the 2020 to 2024 margin shift concentrated within Maricopa (city-level sub-geographies) and across demographic slices; causation cannot be proven from aggregated vote data alone, so the plan produces WHERE-it-concentrated, not WHY.",
      "Using the (dem-rep)/total margin convention throughout; 'swing' computed as margin_2024 minus margin_2020.",
      "Maricopa flipped D→R between 2020 and 2024 (Biden +2.2 in 2020; Trump won in 2024 by several points), so the flip_analysis section will have a real county-level flip to decompose."
    ],
    "question_archetype": "flip_analysis"
  }
}