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Chase County's 2020→2024 partisan shift positioned against the broader Kansas and national county-level pattern over five cycles.
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Chase moved 1.6 points left between 2020 and 2024, landing at R+50.8 — a rare Democratic-direction tick in a precinct that has otherwise drifted 7.9 points right since 2008, with the break in 2016. The 2024 margin sits 49.3 points to the right of the national R+1.4, a divergence that dwarfs Kansas's own 16.1-point gap with the country. With 1,462 total votes cast in a population of 3,030 that is 95.2% non-Hispanic white and pulls a median household income of $32,656, the 2020→2024 nudge is a small-N twitch inside a structurally fixed Republican shape.
Headline numbers at a glance
Chase County voted R+50.8 in 2024, a 1.55-point leftward drift from R+52.3 in 2020. The lean score of R+50.7 tracks the 2024 margin almost exactly, framing the result as structural rather than cycle-specific. Turnout came in at 37.7%.
Where the answer lives
Chase in Kansas, drawn against the state outline.
From one party to the other
Held R from 2020 to 2024 (moved +1.6).
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Chase County voted R+50.8 in 2024, easing 1.6 points left from R+52.3 in 2020 but still 7.9 points to the right of where it sat in 2008 at R+42.9. The rightward break came in 2016, when the margin moved 7.0 points right from R+40.7 to R+47.7. A second 4.6-point R shift followed in 2020, pushing the county to its deepest Republican margin of the span. The 2024 cycle marks the only Democratic-direction step in 16 years, a 1.6-point trim against three consecutive R moves.
Shifted 7.9 pts left across 16 years.
Population, income, education
Chase County is 95.2% non-Hispanic white across a population of 3,030. Median household income sits at $32,656 and 19.6% of adults hold a bachelor's degree. Foreign-born residents make up 1.1% of the population, and the poverty rate runs at 8.6%. The profile — small, rural, overwhelmingly white, with below-median income and education — is the demographic backdrop for the county's rightward drift.
Against county, state, and national
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | R+47.7 | R+52.3 | R+50.8 | -7.9 pts |
| Kansas | R+20.4 | R+14.8 | R+16.1 | +4.3 pts |
| KS-2 | R+18.8 | R+16.3 | R+19.7 | -0.9 pts |
| United States | D+2.1 | D+4.5 | R+1.4 | -3.5 pts |
Akashic Atlas, "Chase County's 2020→2024 partisan shift positioned against the broader Kansas and national county-level pattern over five cycles", answer ID Xk8n46YosARV, generated 2026-04-30, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/Xk8n46YosARV
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