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Philadelphia as a high-population urban county in a battleground state — its specific cycle-by-cycle arc within Pennsylvania's larger trajec
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Headline numbers at a glance
Where the answer lives
Philadelphia in Pennsylvania, drawn against the state outline.
Cycle-by-cycle arc
Philadelphia has drifted 7.9 points right across the 2008-2024 span, sliding from D+66.7 under Obama to D+58.8 last cycle. The peak was 2012 at D+71.3, and every cycle since has moved rightward — 4.3 points in 2016, 3.4 points in 2020, 4.7 points in 2024. The 2020→2024 step was the largest of the three, making 2024 the inflection year for the trend's acceleration. Total votes cast held in a tight band between 690K and 741K across all five cycles, so the margin compression came from vote share, not collapsing turnout.
Shifted 7.9 pts left across 16 years.
Population, income, education
Philadelphia County splits 45.0% white and 43.2% Black across 1.52 million people, with Hispanic residents at 8.5% and Asian at 4.5%. Median household income sits at $30,746 and the poverty rate runs 22.9%, with 9.0% of residents foreign-born. Bachelor's attainment reaches 17.9% — a low-income, low-education profile that anchors the county's Democratic lean.
Against county, state, and national
| Geography | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 | Change since 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | D+67.0 | D+63.5 | D+58.8 | -7.9 pts |
| Pennsylvania | R+0.7 | D+1.2 | R+1.7 | -1.0 pts |
| PA-2 | D+49.3 | D+42.7 | D+35.6 | -13.7 pts |
Akashic Atlas, "Philadelphia as a high-population urban county in a battleground state — its specific cycle-by-cycle arc within Pennsylvania's larger trajec", answer ID jRU4Am1gmest, generated 2026-04-27, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/jRU4Am1gmest
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