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What’s the presidential baseline for IA-HD-89?
  1. Drafted the plan
  2. Found ia_hd89
  3. Writing the big picture (2)
  4. Drawing the map (3)
  5. Charting the trend (4)
  6. Reading the demographics (5)
  7. Building the comparison (6)
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IA-HD-89's presidential lean as a baseline measurement of partisan competitiveness, reaggregated from block-level presidential results to…

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IA-HD-89's presidential lean as a baseline measurement of partisan competitiveness, reaggregated from block-level presidential results to…

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State House District 89 ran D+9.7 in 2024, a 5.1-point rightward move from D+14.7 in 2020 that still leaves the district 32.9 points clear of KS-4's R+23.3. The seat is 43.6% non-Hispanic white and 24.9% Black inside a congressional district that broke R+23.3 — a Democratic island whose 2024 slip tracked the wider Kansas pattern even as the gap to the parent CD held. Turnout came in at 53.1% on 22,572 ballots, down from 24,040 in 2020.

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The big picture

Headline numbers at a glance

State House District 89 voted D+9.7 in 2024, a 5.1-point rightward shift from D+14.7 in 2020. The lean score sits at D+10.8, with 2024 turnout at 53.1%.

D+9.7
Lean Score
D+10.8
2020 margin
D+14.7
2024 turnout
53.1%

On the map

Where the answer lives

State House District 89, a custom area drawn over Kansas.

Primary shape
State House District 89
Shown alongside
3 regions · KS
Center point
37.75°N, 97.29°W
Detail level
10
Size
0.06° × 0.07°

Over time

Cycle-by-cycle arc

IA-HD-89 drifted 2.7 points right between 2008 and 2024, ending at D+9.7 after starting at D+12.3 under Obama. The district has stayed on the Democratic side every cycle in the span, bottoming at D+6.8 in 2012 before climbing back. The 2020 peak at D+14.7 was the high-water mark, following a 6.2-point leftward swing from 2016. That gain reversed in 2024, when the margin gave back 5.1 points to land at D+9.7 — close to the 2008 starting point despite the cycle-to-cycle volatility in between.

Shifted 2.7 pts left across 16 years.

Hover a cycle to see its margin and turnout.
DR020202008: D+12.32012: D+6.82016: D+8.52020: D+14.72024: D+9.720082012201620202024
D+12.3 in 2008, D+9.7 in 2024, shifted 2.7 points left; inflection at 2020.

Who lives there

Population, income, education

IA-HD-89 holds 54,632 people, 54.3% white and 24.9% Black, with a voting-age population of 42,497. The 10.7% Hispanic and 6.1% Asian shares round out a more diverse mix than the rural-Iowa baseline the district sits within. Approximate non-Hispanic white share lands at 43.6%, the lowest-leverage demographic frame for reading the presidential margin against statewide Iowa.

Racial makeup
white 54.3%Black 24.9%Hispanic 10.7%Asian 6.1%

Population & people

Population
54,632
Voting-age adults
42,497
Methodology & sources (6)
  • Spatial rollup via ST_Intersects against 38 block-group(s).
  • Spatial selection is inclusive-intersect (boundary BGs counted in full); no area-weighted partial inclusion in v1.
  • pct_non_hispanic_white is approximate: computed as (pop_white - pop_hispanic) / total_population. PL 94-171 race/ethnicity cross-tabs are not available at block-group resolution.
  • median_age not aggregable at block-group in v1; returned null.
  • ACS socioeconomic data (income, college, poverty, foreign-born) not available at block-group level in v1; aggregate county-level ACS is a Phase 2 enhancement.
  • No containing-geography race breakdown available; contrasting_dimension omitted.

How it compares

Against county, state, and national

State House District 89 ran D+9.7 in 2024 while its containing KS-4 came in R+23.3 — a 32.9-point gap that puts the district on the opposite side of the ledger from every other row. Sedgwick County sat at R+13.8 and Kansas overall at R+16.1, with the United States at R+1.4; the district is the only

  • State House District 89-2.7 pts
    2016
    D+8.5
    2020
    D+14.7
    2024
    D+9.7
  • Sedgwick+4.3 pts
    2016
    R+18.1
    2020
    R+12.6
    2024
    R+13.8
  • Kansas+4.3 pts
    2016
    R+20.4
    2020
    R+14.8
    2024
    R+16.1
  • KS-4+3.5 pts
    2016
    R+26.8
    2020
    R+21.8
    2024
    R+23.3
  • United States-3.5 pts
    2016
    D+2.1
    2020
    D+4.5
    2024
    R+1.4

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Akashic Atlas, "IA-HD-89's presidential lean as a baseline measurement of partisan competitiveness, reaggregated from block-level presidential results to…", answer ID umKFI1FFl-Hf, generated 2026-04-29, retrieved 2026-04-30. https://akashicedge.com/atlas/a/umKFI1FFl-Hf

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