Philip Murphy

Democratic

5 races across Governor, State Senate, House

GovernorState SenateUS House

Electoral Grade

C+

-4.7 pts

avg overperformance

Better than 34% of candidates2 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

Races

3-2

W-L (60%)

+0.6

Avg Margin

1998–2021

Career Span

Best: +14.1 (2017 Governor)Worst: -15.6 (2016 State Senate)

Career Margin Trend5 races

1,339,471

Candidate Votes

51.2%

Vote %

2,616,384

Total Votes

+3.2%

Margin

Electoral Performance

-9.7

Race Score

-12.7

vs. Natl. Baseline

D+15.9

State Pres.

Incumbent (−3pt bar)