Jay Obernolte
Republican
Undefeated: 4-0 career record
US HouseState House
Electoral Grade
A
+45.2 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 95% of candidates3 graded races
Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.
4
Races
4-0
W-L (100%)
-18.6
Avg Margin
2016–2024
Career Span
Best: +-12.1 (2020 House)Worst: -22.1 (2022 House)
Career Margin Trend4 races
Career Timeline
159,286
Candidate Votes
60.1%
Vote %
264,849
Total Votes
-20.3%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+43.0
Race Score
+41.0
vs. Natl. Baseline
D+20.7
State Pres.