Baldwin County, Georgia: True Battleground
Georgia · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+2.2
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
44K
Population
Baldwin County, Georgia voted R+2.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 9,574 votes (50.68%). This represented a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+2.2
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population43,799
Median Age
36.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
24.1%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$54,699(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
51.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
42.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
64.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
22.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
4.9%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Evangelical
22.9%(+6.4 vs US)
Catholic
3.5%(-15.2 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
3.1%(-2.1 vs US)
Black Protestant
2.4%
LDS/Mormon
1.2%(-0.8 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:36.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.9%↓
18-29
18.1%↑
30-44
17.3%
45-64
28.9%↑
65+
16.7%
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSEducationAbove avg
13.0%Retail Trade
10.5%Manufacturing
10.2%Professional ServicesBelow avg
7.6%ConstructionBelow avg
4.6%HealthcareVery low
2.4%Political relevance:
Healthcare: ACA debates
+ 1 more industries
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.5%(9,159) | 50.7%(9,574) | R+2.2 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 50.1%(9,140) | 48.8%(8,903) | D+1.3 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 49.5%(7,970) | 47.8%(7,697) | D+1.7 | R+3.8 |
| 2012 | 52.1%(8,483) | 46.6%(7,589) | D+5.5 | D+0.9 |
| 2008 | 51.9%(8,587) | 47.3%(7,823) | D+4.6 | D+11.0 |
| 2004 | 46.5%(6,775) | 52.9%(7,709) | R+6.4 | R+5.2 |
| 2000 | 48.6%(5,893) | 49.8%(6,041) | R+1.2 | R+11.7 |
| 1996 | 51.2%(5,740) | 40.8%(4,570) | D+10.4 | R+2.7 |
| 1992 | 49.3%(5,813) | 36.2%(4,262) | D+13.2 | D+31.8 |
| 1988 | 40.4%(4,008) | 59.0%(5,852) | R+18.6 | D+0.9 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 49.0%(7,327) | 49.6%(7,416) | R+0.6 | R+0.1 |
| 2020 | 48.6%(8,783) | 49.1%(8,873) | R+0.5 | D+6.2 |
| 2016 | 45.1%(6,787) | 51.8%(7,796) | R+6.7 | R+11.0 |
| 2014 | 51.3%(5,453) | 47.0%(4,998) | D+4.3 | D+9.7 |
| 2010 | 46.0%(5,085) | 51.5%(5,689) | R+5.5 | R+5.8 |
| 2008 | 50.2%(4,483) | 49.8%(4,452) | D+0.3 | D+7.5 |
| 2004 | 45.6%(6,468) | 52.7%(7,483) | R+7.2 | R+11.3 |
| 2002 | 51.6%(4,958) | 47.4%(4,556) | D+4.2 | R+10.0 |
| 2000 | 53.8%(4,969) | 39.7%(3,663) | D+14.2 | D+15.3 |
| 1998 | 48.6%(4,199) | 49.8%(4,297) | R+1.1 | R+19.4 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 46.1%(13,826) | 53.2%(15,974) | R+7.2 | R+7.5 |
| 2018 | 49.8%(7,793) | 49.5%(7,735) | D+0.4 | R+2.9 |
| 2014 | 50.6%(5,318) | 47.4%(4,975) | D+3.3 | R+1.7 |
| 2010 | 50.8%(5,689) | 45.8%(5,133) | D+5.0 | D+4.8 |
| 2006 | 48.4%(4,857) | 48.3%(4,843) | D+0.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2002 | 47.2%(4,523) | 51.1%(4,900) | R+3.9 | R+35.3 |
| 1998 | 64.5%(6,167) | 33.1%(3,167) | D+31.4 | D+28.0 |
| 1994 | 51.7%(4,313) | 48.3%(4,031) | D+3.4 | R+12.3 |
| 1990 | 57.0%(4,473) | 41.3%(3,241) | D+15.7 | R+30.4 |
| 1986 | 73.0%(4,194) | 27.0%(1,549) | D+46.1 | D+33.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab