
Competitive — 28D, 12R in 40 presidential elections
POPULATION
10.9M
VAP
8.2M
TURNOUT
64.4%
COMPETITIVENESS
Tilt R
GOVERNOR
Kemp
(R)
2024 PRES
R+2.2
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 35pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 32.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 31% Black (+19pp vs national)