Safe Republican — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 20.7% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 14.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.9% | 64.9% |
| Catholic | 7.4% | 17.8% |
| Other | 4.0% | 9.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.0% | 7.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 5.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 58.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+39.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+38.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.9 |
1996: Perot 10.3% · 1992: Perot 27.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%