Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 27 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(7) | 25.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 68.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.1% |
▶Asian(2) | 1.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.8% | 49.7% |
| Catholic | 28.3% | 47.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 40.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+72.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+66.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+55.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+67.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+51.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+20.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+21.9 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%