Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(1) | 8.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 21.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 36.6% | 74.2% |
| Black Protestant | 7.8% | 15.8% |
| Catholic | 2.5% | 5.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.4% | 4.8% |
| Non-religious | 50.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+56.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+50.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+17.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.5 |
1996: Perot 9.1% · 1992: Perot 18.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%