Fairfax city, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1964–2024
D+33.1
2024 Margin
R+5.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2004
Voting Streak
24K
Population
Fairfax city, Virginia voted D+33.1 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 8,797 votes (64.84%). This represented a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2004.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+33.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.2%
Voting StreakD since 2004
Elections on Record16
Demographics
Population24,146
Median Age
37.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
62.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$128,708(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
52.5%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
18.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
4.6%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
17.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
69.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.9%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
27.2%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Catholic
37.6%(+18.9 vs US)
Evangelical
20.3%(+3.8 vs US)
Mainline Protestant
14.3%(+9.1 vs US)
Jewish
7.5%(+7.1 vs US)
Black Protestant
0.4%(-1.8 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:37.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.0%↑
18-29
9.7%↓
30-44
20.4%
45-64
31.6%↑
65+
14.3%↓
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSProfessional ServicesVery high
27.4%Retail TradeBelow avg
7.6%EducationBelow avg
7.2%HealthcareVery low
5.4%ConstructionBelow avg
4.9%ManufacturingVery low
3.5%Political relevance:
Professional Services: College-educated baseHealthcare: ACA debatesManufacturing: Trade policy sensitive
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.8%(8,797) | 31.7%(4,302) | D+33.1 | R+5.2 |
| 2020 | 68.0%(9,174) | 29.7%(4,007) | D+38.3 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 61.3%(7,367) | 30.8%(3,702) | D+30.5 | D+14.3 |
| 2012 | 57.2%(6,651) | 41.1%(4,775) | D+16.1 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 57.7%(6,575) | 41.2%(4,691) | D+16.5 | D+13.2 |
| 2004 | 51.2%(5,395) | 47.8%(5,045) | D+3.3 | D+7.5 |
| 2000 | 45.6%(4,361) | 49.8%(4,762) | R+4.2 | D+0.5 |
| 1996 | 44.7%(3,909) | 49.4%(4,319) | R+4.7 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 40.1%(3,884) | 44.7%(4,333) | R+4.6 | D+18.9 |
| 1988 | 37.7%(3,430) | 61.3%(5,576) | R+23.6 | D+7.6 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66.8%(8,882) | 33.2%(4,407) | D+33.7 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 69.0%(9,179) | 31.1%(4,134) | D+37.9 | R+4.2 |
| 2018 | 71.0%(7,330) | 29.0%(2,988) | D+42.1 | D+30.4 |
| 2014 | 55.8%(3,812) | 44.2%(3,018) | D+11.6 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 59.0%(6,728) | 41.0%(4,682) | D+17.9 | R+18.4 |
| 2008 | 68.2%(7,527) | 31.8%(3,515) | D+36.3 | D+22.7 |
| 2006 | 56.8%(4,541) | 43.2%(3,451) | D+13.6 | D+113.6 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 100.0%(4,829) | R+100.0 | R+101.1 |
| 2000 | 50.5%(4,777) | 49.5%(4,677) | D+1.1 | D+18.3 |
| 1996 | 41.4%(3,549) | 58.6%(5,023) | R+17.2 | R+28.7 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 72.6%(7,552) | 27.4%(2,847) | D+45.2 | D+14.1 |
| 2017 | 65.6%(5,380) | 34.4%(2,822) | D+31.2 | D+13.3 |
| 2013 | 58.9%(3,987) | 41.1%(2,777) | D+17.9 | D+24.0 |
| 2009 | 47.0%(2,909) | 53.0%(3,285) | R+6.1 | R+22.9 |
| 2005 | 58.4%(3,865) | 41.6%(2,750) | D+16.9 | D+12.7 |
| 2001 | 52.1%(3,478) | 47.9%(3,203) | D+4.1 | D+10.3 |
| 1997 | 46.9%(3,047) | 53.1%(3,451) | R+6.2 | D+1.2 |
| 1993 | 46.3%(2,920) | 53.7%(3,390) | R+7.5 | R+13.2 |
| 1989 | 52.9%(3,398) | 47.1%(3,027) | D+5.8 | D+5.0 |
| 1985 | 50.4%(2,577) | 49.6%(2,538) | D+0.8 | D+0.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
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