
Safe Republican — flipped 5 times in 25 elections
POPULATION
762K
HOUSE MARGIN
R+26.1
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+13.2
2024
LEAN
Likely R
COLLEGE+
37%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2008
Ticket-splitting: President ran 38.1pp behind House
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 79% non-Hispanic white (+22pp vs national)
Biggest swing: D+6.2 in 2020
2024 / 2020 precinct vintages
See how each split precinct fragment inside KY-06 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.
Unlock with Pro$33/mo| Group | KY-06 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.1% | 81.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 8.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.5% | 5.0% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.3% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% | — | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs House | R+13.2 | R+26.1 | 12.9pp |