How did NJ-05, New Jersey vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NJ-05, New Jersey voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+4.8. The Democratic candidate received 187,972 votes and the Republican candidate received 207,390 out of 403,299 total votes cast, a 10.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NJ-05, New Jersey's political history?

NJ-05, New Jersey has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 1 and Republicans 4 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 10.1 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NJ-05, New Jersey?

NJ-05, New Jersey has a population of 778,374 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 57.0% non-Hispanic white, 17.4% Hispanic, 5.7% Black. About 55% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $132,937.

New Jersey's 5th Congressional District

New Jersey · Latest: 2024↑ D+0.9 vs 2022

Leans Democratic — flipped 1 time in 25 elections

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POPULATION
778K
HOUSE MARGIN
D+11.3
2024
PRES MARGIN
R+4.8
2024
LEAN
Tossup
COLLEGE+
55%

Place Story

What defines New Jersey's 5th Congressional District

Methodology

Genuine tossup
- Tossup
Full-spectrum contest: persuasion, turnout, coalition.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 16.1pp behind House
- Divergence 16.1pp in 2024
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Biggest swing: R+10.1 in 2024
- 2020 → 2024
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 55% college+ (+19pp vs national)
- 55% college+ (+19pp vs national)

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside NJ-05 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

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Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New Jersey's 5th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NJ-05Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 57.0%Hispanic 17.4%Asian 16.4%Black 5.7%Multiracial 3.4%

Group	NJ-05	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	57.0%	50.9%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	17.4%	22.5%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	16.4%	10.1%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(14)	5.7%	12.8%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	4.0%	—	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	3.4%	3.1%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NJ-05 vs New Jersey vs National778K residents

55% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 22pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

778K

local

778KState 9.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.23%

local

0.23%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.3%

local

77.3%State 76.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$132,937

local

$132,937State $104,663National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%State 9.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

55.0%

local

55.0%State 43.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.4%

local

73.4%State 63.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.3 yrs

local

43.3 yrsState 40.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.9%

local

12.9%State 14.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.2%

local

19.2%State 17.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.4%

local

26.4%State 23.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.2%

local

34.2%State 33.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.8%

local

65.8%State 66.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NJ-05

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

67.0%

vs Previous

-4.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

601,586

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NJ-05?

TossupAvg margin: R+0.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+2.0

2012

R+2.8

2016

R+1.1

2020

D+5.3

2024

R+4.8

Elasticity

10.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+1.1

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in NJ-05 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (57/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	R+4.8	D+11.3	16.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.9pp

New Jersey Comparison Set

Other New Jersey Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

22 sibling districts

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