explore / Contest Page
Read the current governor state first, then inspect ratings, polling, markets, fundraising, and history for Hawaii in one evidence flow.
Evidence & provenance
Source owners
Akashic Edge race ratings, polling ingests, Polymarket odds, fundraising files, and U.S. Census context.
Freshness
Rendered Mar 17, 2026 from the latest stored polling, market, and race-rating snapshots.
Boundary scope
2026 statewide race page for the current state and office only.
Claim type
Manual race ratings, stored live-market snapshots, polling context, and deterministic demographic history.
Polling and market panels fail closed. If a feed is missing or stale, this page states that directly instead of implying current coverage.
Green won by 28 points in 2022 and has maintained a 56% approval rating through his first term, bolstered by his widely praised response to the 2023 Maui wildfires. Hawaii is the bluest state in the country — Republicans haven’t won a statewide race since 2002, and the last Republican governor was Linda Lingle in 2006. There’s no serious GOP challenger on the horizon. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato all rate this Solid D, and they’re right.
Updated 2026-03-03