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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/Governor/New Mexico
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·Governor·New Mexico

      New Mexico Governor

      Open Seat

      Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) retiring

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      Deb HaalandDDeclared

      Former U.S. Interior Secretary, leads primary polls at 50%

      Sam BregmanDDeclared

      Bernalillo County DA

      State Demographics

      New Mexico vs. National · Pop. 2.1M

      White (non-Hispanic)36.0%
      National: 57.4%
      Black2.1%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino48.4%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian1.8%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree30.6%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$65,558
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.7
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      Governor in New Mexico

      2022
      Michelle Lujan GrishamDEM
      D+6.4
      2018
      Michelle Lujan GrishamDEM
      D+14.4
      2014
      Susana MartinezREP
      R+14.4
      2010
      Susana MartinezREP
      R+6.7
      2006
      Bill RichardsonDEM
      D+37.6
      2002
      Bill RichardsonDEM
      D+16.4
      1998
      Gary E. JohnsonREP
      R+9.1
      1994
      Gary E. JohnsonREP
      R+9.9
      1990
      Bruce KingDEM
      D+9.4
      1986
      Garrey E. CarruthersREP
      R+6.1
      1982
      Toney AnayaDEM
      D+5.9
      1978
      Bruce KingDEM
      D+1.1
      1974
      Jerry ApodacaDEM
      D+1.1
      1970
      Bruce KingDEM
      D+4.9
      1968
      David F CargoREP
      R+0.9
      View all Governor history for New Mexico →

      Also in New Mexico, 2026

      U.S. Senate
      Safe D
      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
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