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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Ohio
      2026 ForecastLean D
      2026·US Senate·Ohio
      Special

      Ohio US Senate

      Open Seat

      No incumbent

      Senate Class 3

      Race Analysis

      Sherrod Brown wasn't as great a candidate as you might think (did maybe 5% better than expected), but both a better contrast with Husted and a better national environment will more than make up his 2024 margin.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      TBDDDeclared

      Dem challenger expected

      Democratic PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Allison Russo be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      Republican Candidates

      TBDRDeclared

      Husted likely GOP nominee

      Republican PrimaryPolymarket

      Will another candidate win the Ohio Republican Senate Primary?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      State Demographics

      Ohio vs. National · Pop. 11.8M

      White (non-Hispanic)75.8%
      National: 57.4%
      Black12.2%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino4.8%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian2.6%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree31.6%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$72,438
      National: $83,960
      Median Age39.8
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Ohio(Class II)

      2024
      Bernie MorenoREP
      R+3.6
      2022
      J. D. VanceREP
      R+6.1
      2018
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+6.8
      2016
      Rob PortmanREP
      R+20.9
      2012
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+6.0
      2010
      Rob PortmanREP
      R+17.4
      2006
      Sherrod BrownDEM
      D+12.3
      2004
      George VoinovichREP
      R+27.7
      2000
      Michael DewineREP
      R+24.1
      1998
      George VoinovichREP
      R+12.9
      1994
      Michael DewineREP
      R+14.2
      1992
      John GlennDEM
      D+8.7
      1988
      Howard MetzenbaumDEM
      D+13.9
      1986
      John GlennDEM
      D+24.9
      1982
      Howard MetzenbaumDEM
      D+15.5
      View all US Senate history for Ohio →

      Also in Ohio, 2026

      Governor
      Likely D
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