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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/Oregon
      2026 ForecastSafe D
      2026·US Senate·Oregon

      Oregon US Senate

      Incumbent
      DJeff Merkley
      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      Jeff MerkleyDIncumbent

      Senior senator from Oregon since 2009

      C+8W-0L8 races
      Full profile →
      Democratic PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      Republican Candidates

      TBDRRumored

      No major GOP challenger expected

      Republican PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      State Demographics

      Oregon vs. National · Pop. 4.3M

      White (non-Hispanic)71.4%
      National: 57.4%
      Black1.9%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino14.7%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian4.5%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree36.7%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$84,541
      National: $83,960
      Median Age40.6
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in Oregon(Class I)

      2022
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+14.9
      2020
      Jeff MerkleyDEM
      D+17.6
      2016
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+23.3
      2014
      Jeff MerkleyDEM
      D+18.9
      2010
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+18.0
      2008
      Jeff MerkleyDEM
      D+3.4
      2004
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+31.6
      2002
      Gordon SmithREP
      R+16.6
      1998
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+27.3
      1996(S)
      Ron WydenDEM
      D+1.5
      1996
      Gordon SmithREP
      R+3.9
      1992
      Bob PackwoodREP
      R+5.6
      1990
      Mark HatfieldREP
      R+7.5
      1986
      Bob PackwoodREP
      R+26.9
      1984
      Mark HatfieldREP
      R+33.1
      View all US Senate history for Oregon →

      Also in Oregon, 2026

      Governor
      Safe D      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
      ← 2026 Forecast OverviewOregon profileAll elections