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      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home/Elections/2026/US Senate/South Carolina
      2026 ForecastSafe R
      2026·US Senate·South Carolina

      South Carolina US Senate

      Incumbent
      RLindsey Graham
      Senate Class 2

      Race Analysis

      Analysis coming soon.

      Updated 2026-02-18

      Candidates & Primaries

      Democratic Candidates

      TBDDRumored

      No major Dem challenger expected

      Republican Candidates

      Lindsey GrahamRIncumbent

      Senior senator from South Carolina since 2003

      C9W-0L9 races
      Full profile →
      Republican PrimaryPolymarket

      Will Thomas Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

      Data from Polymarket prediction markets

      State Demographics

      South Carolina vs. National · Pop. 5.3M

      White (non-Hispanic)61.9%
      National: 57.4%
      Black24.8%
      National: 12.2%
      Hispanic/Latino7.4%
      National: 19.3%
      Asian1.8%
      National: 6.0%
      College Degree32.1%
      National: 35.6%
      Median Income$70,153
      National: $83,960
      Median Age40.5
      National: 39.1

      Seat History

      US Senate in South Carolina(Class I)

      2022
      Tim ScottREP
      R+25.9
      2020
      Lindsey O GrahamREP
      R+10.3
      2016
      Tim ScottREP
      R+23.6
      2014(S)
      Tim ScottREP
      R+24.0
      2014
      Lindsey O GrahamREP
      R+15.5
      2010
      Jim DemintREP
      R+33.8
      2008
      Lindsey O GrahamREP
      R+15.3
      2004
      Jim DemintREP
      R+9.6
      2002
      Lindsey O GrahamREP
      R+10.2
      1998
      Ernest F. HollingsDEM
      D+7.0
      1996
      Strom ThurmondREP
      R+9.4
      1992
      Ernest F. HollingsDEM
      D+3.1
      1990
      Strom ThurmondREP
      R+31.7
      1986
      Ernest F. HollingsDEM
      D+27.5
      1984
      Strom ThurmondREP
      R+35.0
      View all US Senate history for South Carolina →

      Also in South Carolina, 2026

      Governor
      Safe R      ← 2026 Forecast Overview
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