A small Tennessee metro where rural-to-suburban transition shapes the ballot
Cleveland anchors Bradley County in the southeastern corner of Tennessee, where a manufacturing base and proximity to Chattanooga have drawn younger working families into a historically deep-red voting landscape that has held consistent double-digit Republican margins.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley | 111K | R+58.9 | 9,852 | 38,836 | 49,246 | 21.2% |
| Bradley | 103K | R+58.9 | 9,852 | 38,836 | 49,246 | 21.2% |
| Bradley | 95K | R+58.9 | 9,852 | 38,836 | 49,246 | 21.2% |
| Bradley | 88K | R+58.9 | 9,852 | 38,836 | 49,246 | 21.2% |
| Polk | 18K | R+68.1 | 1,356 | 7,302 | 8,727 | 3.8% |
| Polk | 17K | R+68.1 | 1,356 | 7,302 | 8,727 | 3.8% |
| Polk | 16K | R+68.1 | 1,356 | 7,302 | 8,727 | 3.8% |
| Polk | 16K | R+68.1 | 1,356 | 7,302 | 8,727 | 3.8% |
| Group | Cleveland, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 4.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.8% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -84.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8% | 84.0% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 4.4% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.5% | — | — | |
| 0.8% | 1.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 38.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Cleveland, TN metro area? 463,454 residents across 8 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+60.3 | R+59.5 | 0.8pp |