How did Danville, KY vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Danville, KY voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+43.0. Kamala D Harris received 7,070 votes and Donald Trump received 17,992 out of 25,407 total votes cast, a 4.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Danville, KY's political history?

Danville, KY has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1984. The largest single-election swing was 71.1 points in 1872.

What are the demographics of Danville, KY?

Danville, KY has a population of 214,567 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.5% non-Hispanic white, 2.3% Hispanic, 5.4% Black. About 17% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $41,013.

Which places are most similar to Danville, KY?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Danville, KY are Campbellsville, KY, Hannibal, MO, Moberly, MO. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Danville, KY

Boyle County's small-city core where college-town demographics meet rural Kentucky trends

Home to Centre College, Danville anchors a compact metro that leans reliably Republican in federal races while sustaining a modest professional-class voter bloc that occasionally narrows statewide margins.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 19220

Population215K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.9y— 0.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

17.4%▼ 17.6

White89.5%
Black5.4%
Two or more2.7%
Hispanic2.3%
Other0.7%
Asian0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Danville, KYBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Campbellsville, KY, Hannibal, MO, and Moberly, MO.

8 visible matches

Campbellsville, KY

Small-town rural republican 3

R+61.8

Similarity score95%

Hannibal, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+54.8

Similarity score93%

Moberly, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+52.1

Similarity score93%

Gallipolis, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+59.4

Similarity score92%

Farmington, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.4

Similarity score92%

West Plains, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+66.7

Similarity score92%

Glasgow, KY

Small-town rural republican 3

R+55.2

Similarity score92%

Sikeston, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.8

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Danville, KY

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Boyle	31K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	14.1%
Boyle	30K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	14.1%
Boyle	29K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	14.1%
Boyle	28K	R+29.0	4,990	9,159	14,373	14.1%
Lincoln	25K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	10.9%
Lincoln	25K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	10.9%
Lincoln	24K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	10.9%
Lincoln	23K	R+61.2	2,080	8,833	11,034	10.9%

8 countiesTotal votes: 101,628

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Danville, KY's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Danville, KY metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Danville, KYCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.5%Black 5.4%Hispanic 2.3%Multiracial 2.2%Asian 0.5%

Group	Danville, KY	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(7)	5.4%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(9)	2.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.5%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

64.0%(35.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -79.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	50.1%	78.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.8%	10.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.8%	4.3%	—	—
Catholic	2.3%	3.6%	—	—
Other	1.9%	3.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Danville, KY metro area? 214,567 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Danville, KY vs National215K residents

17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

215K

local

215KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.06%

local

0.06%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.9%

local

36.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$41,013

local

$41,013National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.7%

local

17.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.4%

local

17.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.6%

local

71.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.9 yrs

local

38.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.0%

local

12.0%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5%

local

1.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.9%

local

2.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

97.1%

local

97.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Danville, KY

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

59.7%

vs Previous

+0.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

17K · 40.3%

Citizen VAP

42,570

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Danville, KY split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2020 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+38.6	R+32.6	6.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 18.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Danville, KY sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kentucky(State)

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