A mid-size Bluegrass corridor city with a consistently wide Republican margin
Anchored by Fort Knox and a manufacturing base along the I-65 corridor, the Elizabethtown metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily white, working-class composition of Hardin and surrounding counties.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hardin | 112K | R+29.3 | 16,572 | 30,672 | 48,082 | 21.7% |
| Hardin | 108K | R+29.3 | 16,572 | 30,672 | 48,082 | 21.7% |
| Hardin | 98K | R+29.3 | 16,572 | 30,672 | 48,082 | 21.7% |
| Hardin | 94K | R+29.3 | 16,572 | 30,672 | 48,082 | 21.7% |
| LaRue | 15K | R+60.4 | 1,389 | 5,773 | 7,259 | 3.3% |
| LaRue | 14K | R+60.4 | 1,389 | 5,773 | 7,259 | 3.3% |
| LaRue | 14K | R+60.4 | 1,389 | 5,773 | 7,259 | 3.3% |
| LaRue | 13K | R+60.4 | 1,389 | 5,773 | 7,259 | 3.3% |
| Group | Elizabethtown, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 10.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -65.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 72.6% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 12.0% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.5% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Elizabethtown, KY metro area? 467,988 residents across 8 counties.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+28.3 | R+20.7 | 7.6pp |