A Lake Erie port city that's swung both ways in recent presidential cycles
Erie's metro anchors Pennsylvania's northwest corner with a blue-collar manufacturing base that has produced some of the state's sharpest vote swings, shifting between parties by double-digit margins across consecutive presidential elections.
| Group | Erie, PA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 6.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 3.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +22.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.6% | 47.7% | — | — | |
| 9.1% | 23.4% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 20.6% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 61.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Erie, PA metro area? 1,108,749 residents across 4 counties.
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+1.0 | D+1.7 | 2.7pp |