A small Tennessee valley metro where manufacturing employment shapes the ballot
Fayetteville anchors Lincoln County, a rural-leaning corridor where industrial workers and an aging population have driven increasingly lopsided margins in statewide races over the past two decades.
| Group | Fayetteville, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 87.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 6.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -82.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6% | 80.8% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.8% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 6.2% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 42.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fayetteville, TN metro area? 133,632 residents across 4 counties.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+64.6 | R+65.2 | 0.6pp |