Historic Red River hub where a narrow R+6.4 margin defies Deep South norms
Anchored by Northwestern State University and a substantial Black population, Natchitoches swings closer than most Louisiana metros, making it a rare competitive pocket in an otherwise lopsided state.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natchitoches | 39K | R+22.3 | 5,740 | 9,100 | 15,040 | 25.0% |
| Natchitoches | 39K | R+22.3 | 5,740 | 9,100 | 15,040 | 25.0% |
| Natchitoches | 39K | R+22.3 | 5,740 | 9,100 | 15,040 | 25.0% |
| Natchitoches | 37K | R+22.3 | 5,740 | 9,100 | 15,040 | 25.0% |
| Group | Natchitoches, LA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 39.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -45.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | 62.3% | — | — | |
| 11.2% | 21.2% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 7.6% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 5.3% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Natchitoches, LA metro area? 154,007 residents across 4 counties.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+14.9 | R+35.0 | 20.1pp |