How did Scottsbluff, NE vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Scottsbluff, NE voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+48.6. Kamala D Harris received 3,890 votes and Donald Trump received 11,381 out of 15,426 total votes cast, a 4.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Scottsbluff, NE's political history?

Scottsbluff, NE has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940. The largest single-election swing was 73.0 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Scottsbluff, NE?

Scottsbluff, NE has a population of 149,054 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 75.6% non-Hispanic white, 20.5% Hispanic. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $45,066.

Which places are most similar to Scottsbluff, NE?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Scottsbluff, NE are Brownwood, TX, Gainesville, TX, Norfolk, NE. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Scottsbluff, NE

Panhandle trade hub where agriculture shapes every ballot

Scottsbluff anchors Nebraska's sparsely populated western Panhandle, where an economy built on irrigated sugar beets and cattle produces some of the state's most lopsided Republican margins in statewide races.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 42420

Population149K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39.5y▲ 0.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.1%▼ 13.9

White75.6%
Hispanic20.5%
Other5.6%
Two or more4.9%
Native1.5%
Asian0.6%
Black0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Scottsbluff, NEBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Brownwood, TX, Gainesville, TX, and Norfolk, NE.

8 visible matches

Brownwood, TX

Small-town rural republican 3

R+73.9

Similarity score89%

Gainesville, TX

Small-town rural republican 3

R+66.8

Similarity score88%

Norfolk, NE

Small-town rural republican 3

R+60.9

Similarity score87%

Mineral Wells, TX

Small-town rural republican 3

R+67.1

Similarity score87%

Great Bend, KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+56.8

Similarity score87%

Woodward, OK

Small-town rural republican 3

Small-town rural republican 3

R+71.7

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Scottsbluff, NE

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Scotts Bluff	37K	R+47.7	3,856	11,033	15,040	24.4%
Scotts Bluff	37K	R+47.7	3,856	11,033	15,040	24.4%
Scotts Bluff	36K	R+47.7	3,856	11,033	15,040	24.4%
Scotts Bluff	36K	R+47.7	3,856	11,033	15,040	24.4%
Banner	824	R+81.3	34	348	386	0.6%
Banner	819	R+81.3	34	348	386	0.6%
Banner	793	R+81.3	34	348	386	0.6%
Banner	742	R+81.3	34	348	386	0.6%

8 countiesTotal votes: 61,704

Historian Query

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Explore Scottsbluff, NE's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Scottsbluff, NE metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Scottsbluff, NECensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 75.6%Hispanic 20.5%Native American 1.5%Multiracial 1.2%Asian 0.6%Black 0.5%

Group	Scottsbluff, NE	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	75.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(10)	20.5%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.5%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	1.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(2)	0.5%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.9%(17.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -15.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	20.1%	42.8%	—	—
Catholic	15.1%	32.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.0%	17.0%	—	—
Other	3.5%	7.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.4%	5.1%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.3%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.1%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Scottsbluff, NE metro area? 149,054 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Scottsbluff, NE vs National149K residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

149K

local

149KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.4%

local

36.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$45,066

local

$45,066National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.2%

local

14.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.1%

local

21.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.4%

local

67.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.5 yrs

local

39.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.5%

local

10.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.9%

local

13.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

87.8%

local

87.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Scottsbluff, NE

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

57.4%

vs Previous

-1.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

11K · 42.6%

Citizen VAP

26,894

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Scottsbluff, NE split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (9/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+48.6	R+52.6	4.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Scottsbluff, NE sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Nebraska(State)

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