Connecticut State House District 49
Safe Democratic — shifted 9.9pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 24K residents
Connecticut State House District 49 is a state house district that has a population of 24,425. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+19.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.9% | 39.0% | D+19.9 | D+9.9 |
| 2020* | 54.0% | 44.0% | D+10.0 | R+23.5 |
| 2016* | 64.0% | 30.5% | D+33.5 | R+18.8 |
| 2012* | 76.1% | 23.9% | D+52.3 | D+7.1 |
| 2008* | 71.8% | 26.6% | D+45.2 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines CT-HD-49?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (53% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 42.3 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Turnout decreased by 62.7 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | CT-HD-49 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 47.2% | 63.2% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 41.8% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 4.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
Asian | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
Who lives in Connecticut State House District 49? 24,425 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in CT-HD-49
How competitive is CT-HD-49?
Other Connecticut State House Districts
150 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| CT-HD-15 | D+67.0 |
| CT-HD-07 | D+64.8 |
| CT-HD-04 | D+64.6 |
| CT-HD-03 | D+64.6 |
| CT-HD-01 | D+64.6 |
| CT-HD-92 | D+63.3 |
| CT-HD-97 | D+63.3 |
| CT-HD-96 | D+63.2 |
| CT-HD-93 | D+63.2 |
| CT-HD-95 | D+63.0 |
| CT-HD-06 | D+62.3 |
| CT-HD-94 | D+55.1 |
| CT-HD-18 | D+50.1 |
| CT-HD-54 | D+48.4 |
| CT-HD-91 | D+47.5 |
| CT-HD-88 | D+47.4 |
| CT-HD-127 | D+46.7 |
| CT-HD-05 | D+46.6 |
| CT-HD-124 | D+46.6 |
| CT-HD-126 | D+46.6 |
| CT-HD-130 | D+46.6 |
| CT-HD-128 | D+46.4 |
| CT-HD-129 | D+45.3 |
| CT-HD-19 | D+44.4 |
| CT-HD-136 | D+44.3 |