Kansas State House District 15
Competitive — shifted 6.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 25K residents
Kansas State House District 15 is a state house district that has a population of 24,600. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+0.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.3% | 49.1% | R+0.8 | R+6.9 |
| 2020 | 51.7% | 45.6% | D+6.1 | D+19.0 |
| 2016 | 38.7% | 51.6% | R+13.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2012 | 39.7% | 57.6% | R+17.9 | R+7.1 |
| 2008 | 43.5% | 54.3% | R+10.8 | — |
What defines KS-HD-15?
KS-HD-15 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2024 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | KS-HD-15 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 63.2% | 72.7% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.5% | 13.6% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 8.3% | 5.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
Asian | 3.0% | 2.9% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Kansas State House District 15? 24,600 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in KS-HD-15
How competitive is KS-HD-15?
Other Kansas State House Districts
124 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| KS-HD-46 | D+70.7 |
| KS-HD-34 | D+54.6 |
| KS-HD-10 | D+54.3 |
| KS-HD-35 | D+53.4 |
| KS-HD-44 | D+51.8 |
| KS-HD-84 | D+42.2 |
| KS-HD-32 | D+40.5 |
| KS-HD-45 | D+39.9 |
| KS-HD-25 | D+36.0 |
| KS-HD-31 | D+35.9 |
| KS-HD-21 | D+32.7 |
| KS-HD-24 | D+29.0 |
| KS-HD-19 | D+26.6 |
| KS-HD-22 | D+25.3 |
| KS-HD-66 | D+24.4 |
| KS-HD-55 | D+23.4 |
| KS-HD-58 | D+23.4 |
| KS-HD-89 | D+23.2 |
| KS-HD-23 | D+21.6 |
| KS-HD-103 | D+21.5 |
| KS-HD-29 | D+21.3 |
| KS-HD-83 | D+17.8 |
| KS-HD-108 | D+17.2 |
| KS-HD-37 | D+16.6 |
| KS-HD-92 | D+16.5 |