Montana State House District 76
Leans Democratic — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 11K residents
Montana State House District 76 is a state house district that has a population of 10,776. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+10.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.5% | 42.7% | D+10.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2020* | 56.3% | 40.8% | D+15.6 | R+1.3 |
| 2016* | 54.6% | 37.7% | D+16.9 | R+15.2 |
| 2012* | 64.7% | 32.6% | D+32.1 | R+3.9 |
| 2008* | 66.8% | 30.8% | D+36.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines MT-HD-76?
MT-HD-76 has been trending Republican — 21pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 21.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 25.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | MT-HD-76 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 90.7% | 83.6% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 3.6% | 4.6% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.0% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Asian | 0.8% | 0.8% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 0.2% | 0.5% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Montana State House District 76? 10,776 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MT-HD-76
How competitive is MT-HD-76?
Other Montana State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MT-HD-91 | D+62.5 |
| MT-HD-100 | D+57.4 |
| MT-HD-95 | D+42.6 |
| MT-HD-90 | D+40.5 |
| MT-HD-62 | D+34.7 |
| MT-HD-66 | D+33.9 |
| MT-HD-16 | D+27.2 |
| MT-HD-61 | D+23.9 |
| MT-HD-99 | D+23.8 |
| MT-HD-98 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-89 | D+18.8 |
| MT-HD-63 | D+17.3 |
| MT-HD-74 | D+15.1 |
| MT-HD-65 | D+14.6 |
| MT-HD-05 | D+11.6 |
| MT-HD-79 | D+8.8 |
| MT-HD-82 | D+8.4 |
| MT-HD-32 | D+8.2 |
| MT-HD-83 | D+7.6 |
| MT-HD-47 | D+7.0 |
| MT-HD-94 | D+6.6 |
| MT-HD-81 | D+5.3 |
| MT-HD-60 | D+3.3 |
| MT-HD-15 | D+3.1 |
| MT-HD-73 | D+2.4 |