How did NJ-HD-04, New Jersey vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NJ-HD-04, New Jersey voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.3. Kamala D Harris received 62,339 votes and Donald Trump received 60,691 out of 125,060 total votes cast, a 10.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NJ-HD-04, New Jersey's political history?

NJ-HD-04, New Jersey has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 13.4 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of NJ-HD-04, New Jersey?

NJ-HD-04, New Jersey has a population of 233,380 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 66.6% non-Hispanic white, 8.8% Hispanic, 17.4% Black.

Which places are most similar to NJ-HD-04, New Jersey?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NJ-HD-04, New Jersey are New Jersey General Assembly District 3, New Jersey General Assembly District 8, New York Assembly District 143. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New Jersey General Assembly District 4

New Jersey · Latest: 2024↓ R+10.6 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 10.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 233K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New Jersey General Assembly District 3NJ

Urban Competitive

R+7.5

Similarity score95%

New Jersey General Assembly District 8NJ

Urban Competitive

D+1.0

Similarity score94%

New York Assembly District 143NY

Urban Competitive

D+0.8

Similarity score91%

New York Assembly District 142NY

Urban Competitive

D+0.2

Similarity score89%

Ohio State House District 28OH

Urban Competitive

D+13.2

Similarity score89%

Michigan State House District 61MI

Urban Competitive

R+5.2

Similarity score89%

New York Assembly District 110NY

Urban Competitive

D+17.1

Similarity score89%

Michigan State House District 28MI

Urban Competitive

R+12.3

Similarity score89%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NJ-HD-04's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New Jersey General Assembly District 4 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NJ-HD-04Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 66.6%Black 17.4%Hispanic 8.8%Multiracial 3.5%Asian 3.4%

Group	NJ-HD-04	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	66.6%	50.9%	57.4%
Black / African American	17.4%	12.8%	12.2%
Hispanic / Latino	8.8%	22.5%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.5%	3.1%	4.0%
Asian	3.4%	10.1%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.3%	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New Jersey General Assembly District 4? 233,380 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NJ-HD-04 vs New Jersey vs National233K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

233K

local

233KState 9.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.8%

local

78.8%State 76.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $104,663National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 9.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 43.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 63.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 23.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 33.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 66.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NJ-HD-04

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

68.0%

vs Previous

-71.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

183,888

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is NJ-HD-04?

Lean DAvg margin: D+6.2 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+18.2

2012

D+18.7

2016

D+5.3

2020

D+11.9

2024

D+1.3

Elasticity

17.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+11.1

Other New Jersey State House Districts

39 total

Name	Margin ↓
NJ-HD-28	D+76.7
NJ-HD-32	D+43.2
NJ-HD-15	D+41.5
NJ-HD-29	D+41.0
NJ-HD-34	D+40.2
NJ-HD-17	D+32.0
NJ-HD-27	D+31.1
NJ-HD-05	D+29.1
NJ-HD-07	D+28.8
NJ-HD-06	D+27.6
NJ-HD-31	D+27.5
NJ-HD-22	D+24.8
NJ-HD-20	D+24.2
NJ-HD-37	D+23.1
NJ-HD-16	D+13.8
NJ-HD-33	D+12.8
NJ-HD-35	D+12.4
NJ-HD-21	D+12.0
NJ-HD-14	D+10.8
NJ-HD-18	D+10.2
NJ-HD-11	D+4.2
NJ-HD-02	D+1.5
NJ-HD-19	D+1.0
NJ-HD-08	D+1.0
NJ-HD-38	E

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