Oregon State House District 45
Safe Democratic — shifted 5.6pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 70K residents
Oregon State House District 45 is a state house district that has a population of 69,962. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+71.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 83.5% | 12.3% | D+71.3 | D+5.6 |
| 2020* | 81.4% | 15.8% | D+65.6 | D+1.0 |
| 2016* | 77.9% | 13.2% | D+64.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2012* | 82.0% | 18.0% | D+63.9 | D+3.4 |
| 2008* | 79.3% | 18.7% | D+60.6 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines OR-HD-45?
OR-HD-45 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 7pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 71.3% margin
- Shifted 7.3 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | OR-HD-45 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 67.7% | 71.4% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 9.7% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
Asian | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
Black / African American | 6.2% | 1.9% | 12.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Oregon State House District 45? 69,962 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in OR-HD-45
How competitive is OR-HD-45?
Other Oregon State House Districts
59 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| OR-HD-43 | D+85.7 |
| OR-HD-42 | D+84.2 |
| OR-HD-33 | D+75.8 |
| OR-HD-44 | D+75.3 |
| OR-HD-28 | D+71.9 |
| OR-HD-08 | D+66.1 |
| OR-HD-46 | D+64.0 |
| OR-HD-41 | D+60.3 |
| OR-HD-38 | D+57.5 |
| OR-HD-16 | D+54.3 |
| OR-HD-27 | D+50.1 |
| OR-HD-34 | D+46.0 |
| OR-HD-47 | D+38.7 |
| OR-HD-35 | D+37.5 |
| OR-HD-25 | D+37.3 |
| OR-HD-30 | D+34.7 |
| OR-HD-13 | D+34.6 |
| OR-HD-54 | D+33.7 |
| OR-HD-37 | D+30.0 |
| OR-HD-36 | D+29.5 |
| OR-HD-05 | D+27.9 |
| OR-HD-14 | D+24.6 |
| OR-HD-26 | D+21.2 |
| OR-HD-29 | D+16.1 |
| OR-HD-19 | D+15.6 |