Vermont State House District ORC
Competitive — shifted 14.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 4K residents
Vermont State House District ORC is a state house district that has a population of 4,471. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+0.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.9% | 48.7% | R+0.8 | R+14.0 |
| 2020* | 54.8% | 41.6% | D+13.2 | D+13.1 |
| 2016* | 43.0% | 43.0% | D+0.1 | R+30.2 |
| 2012* | 63.9% | 33.6% | D+30.3 | D+15.7 |
| 2008* | 55.7% | 41.1% | D+14.6 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines VT-HD-ORC?
VT-HD-ORC flipped to Republicans in 2024 after voting the other way in 2020. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.1 points — razor-thin
- Swung 14.0 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | VT-HD-ORC | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 91.7% | 89.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 1.3% | 2.6% | 19.3% |
Asian | 0.8% | 1.8% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Black / African American | 0.5% | 1.1% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Vermont State House District ORC? 4,471 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in VT-HD-ORC
How competitive is VT-HD-ORC?
Other Vermont State House Districts
108 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| VT-HD-WA4 | D+77.0 |
| VT-HD-C16 | D+74.4 |
| VT-HD-C13 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C18 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C14 | D+74.3 |
| VT-HD-C15 | D+74.2 |
| VT-HD-C17 | D+73.8 |
| VT-HD-C-6 | D+64.7 |
| VT-HD-C21 | D+63.8 |
| VT-HD-YO2 | D+63.0 |
| VT-HD-C-9 | D+62.5 |
| VT-HD-C10 | D+62.4 |
| VT-HD-C12 | D+62.3 |
| VT-HD-C11 | D+62.2 |
| VT-HD-W-9 | D+62.0 |
| VT-HD-W-8 | D+61.9 |
| VT-HD-W-7 | D+61.7 |
| VT-HD-WA2 | D+61.4 |
| VT-HD-C-5 | D+60.8 |
| VT-HD-C-8 | D+59.6 |
| VT-HD-L-1 | D+59.6 |
| VT-HD-C-7 | D+59.4 |
| VT-HD-A-1 | D+58.3 |
| VT-HD-C-1 | D+58.0 |
| VT-HD-W-4 | D+57.7 |