Wisconsin State House District 45
Leans Democratic — shifted 4.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 58K residents
Wisconsin State House District 45 is a state house district that has a population of 57,664. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+6.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52.8% | 46.0% | D+6.8 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 54.5% | 43.6% | D+10.9 | R+2.2 |
| 2016 | 53.4% | 40.4% | D+13.0 | R+17.3 |
| 2012 | 65.2% | 34.8% | D+30.3 | R+3.7 |
| 2008 | 66.0% | 32.0% | D+34.0 | — |
What defines WI-HD-45?
WI-HD-45 has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
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Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 23.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 27.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | WI-HD-45 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 71.2% | 78.6% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 14.1% | 8.0% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 8.7% | 6.1% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% |
Asian | 1.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Wisconsin State House District 45? 57,664 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in WI-HD-45
How competitive is WI-HD-45?
Other Wisconsin State House Districts
98 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| WI-HD-77 | D+75.7 |
| WI-HD-11 | D+75.4 |
| WI-HD-16 | D+71.7 |
| WI-HD-76 | D+70.7 |
| WI-HD-10 | D+69.4 |
| WI-HD-48 | D+68.2 |
| WI-HD-17 | D+67.7 |
| WI-HD-18 | D+66.5 |
| WI-HD-78 | D+61.6 |
| WI-HD-19 | D+60.0 |
| WI-HD-12 | D+59.5 |
| WI-HD-47 | D+57.5 |
| WI-HD-79 | D+47.0 |
| WI-HD-08 | D+46.4 |
| WI-HD-46 | D+39.5 |
| WI-HD-80 | D+39.0 |
| WI-HD-09 | D+33.8 |
| WI-HD-66 | D+32.6 |
| WI-HD-23 | D+27.9 |
| WI-HD-14 | D+26.7 |
| WI-HD-20 | D+25.3 |
| WI-HD-91 | D+24.9 |
| WI-HD-95 | D+22.9 |
| WI-HD-43 | D+22.2 |
| WI-HD-07 | D+18.3 |