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North Carolina State Senate District 21

North Carolina State Senate District 21

North Carolina · Latest: 2024↓ R+1.7 vs 2020

Leans Republican — 218K residents

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North Carolina State Senate District 21 is a state senate district that has a population of 217,791. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

North Carolina State Senate District 21 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202446.3%52.3%R+5.9R+1.7
2020*47.1%51.3%R+4.2R+2.8
2016*47.3%48.7%R+1.4R+3.4
2012*51.0%49.0%D+2.0R+2.7
2008*51.8%47.1%D+4.6—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines NC-SD-21?

NC-SD-21 has been trending Republican — 8pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (45% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NC-SD-21's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • The 2016 election was decided by just 1.4 points — razor-thin
  • Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
  • Shifted 7.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
NC-SD-21Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 54.7%Black 26.7%Hispanic 10.5%Multiracial 4.7%Asian 2.2%Native American 0.9%Native Hawaiian 0.3%
GroupNC-SD-21StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
54.7%60.0%57.4%
Black / African American
26.7%20.3%12.2%
Hispanic / Latino
10.5%11.3%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.7%4.0%4.0%
Asian
2.2%3.3%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.9%1.1%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.3%0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in North Carolina State Senate District 21? 217,791 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
NC-SD-21 vs North Carolina vs National218K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
218K
local
218KState 10.7MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.07%
local
0.07%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
78.2%
local
78.2%State 75.7%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $74,272National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.1%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 35.8%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 66.6%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 16.0%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.2%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.5%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 86.5%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in NC-SD-21

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
61.0%
vs Previous
-64.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
170,235
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is NC-SD-21?

Tilt RAvg margin: R+3.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+4.6
2012
D+2.0
2016
R+1.4
2020
R+4.2
2024
R+5.9
Elasticity
10.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+1.0

Other North Carolina State Senate Districts

49 total
NameMargin ↓
NC-SD-22D+58.5
NC-SD-38D+58.2
NC-SD-28D+50.4
NC-SD-20D+43.8
NC-SD-14D+38.9
NC-SD-40D+36.5
NC-SD-15D+36.0
NC-SD-41D+34.8
NC-SD-16D+32.6
NC-SD-39D+30.6
NC-SD-49D+30.2
NC-SD-23D+29.9
NC-SD-13D+29.8
NC-SD-32D+22.3
NC-SD-42D+14.2
NC-SD-27D+13.4
NC-SD-05D+9.6
NC-SD-17D+7.0
NC-SD-19D+7.0
NC-SD-18D+3.6
NC-SD-07R+0.9
NC-SD-03R+3.3
NC-SD-11R+3.5
NC-SD-34R+6.1
NC-SD-04R+10.0
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