Tennessee State Senate District 31
Safe Republican — shifted 21.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 203K residents
Tennessee State Senate District 31 is a state senate district that has a population of 203,172. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.2. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.5% | 57.7% | R+17.2 | R+21.4 |
| 2020* | 51.3% | 47.1% | D+4.2 | D+30.5 |
| 2016* | 34.4% | 60.7% | R+26.3 | D+14.5 |
| 2012* | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.7 | R+2.9 |
| 2008* | 30.7% | 68.5% | R+37.9 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines TN-SD-31?
TN-SD-31 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state senate districts
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Key Insights
- Swung 21.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 45.0 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | TN-SD-31 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 68.7% | 71.0% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% |
Asian | 6.7% | 1.9% | 6.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 4.3% | 7.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Tennessee State Senate District 31? 203,172 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in TN-SD-31
How competitive is TN-SD-31?
Other Tennessee State Senate Districts
32 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| TN-SD-33 | D+65.3 |
| TN-SD-29 | D+62.8 |
| TN-SD-19 | D+55.1 |
| TN-SD-30 | D+47.0 |
| TN-SD-21 | D+24.2 |
| TN-SD-20 | D+14.3 |
| TN-SD-22 | R+18.3 |
| TN-SD-07 | R+18.7 |
| TN-SD-11 | R+18.9 |
| TN-SD-06 | R+20.1 |
| TN-SD-10 | R+20.9 |
| TN-SD-32 | R+24.9 |
| TN-SD-13 | R+26.2 |
| TN-SD-17 | R+26.3 |
| TN-SD-14 | R+31.5 |
| TN-SD-27 | R+31.9 |
| TN-SD-05 | R+36.2 |
| TN-SD-25 | R+42.2 |
| TN-SD-18 | R+42.5 |
| TN-SD-28 | R+47.6 |
| TN-SD-03 | R+48.3 |
| TN-SD-23 | R+51.1 |
| TN-SD-26 | R+53.8 |
| TN-SD-02 | R+54.1 |
| TN-SD-15 | R+56.9 |