Vermont State Senate District ESX
Leans Republican — shifted 10.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 22K residents
Vermont State Senate District ESX is a state senate district that has a population of 22,247. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.9. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.3% | 53.1% | R+9.9 | R+10.6 |
| 2020* | 48.7% | 48.0% | D+0.8 | D+8.2 |
| 2016* | 39.1% | 46.6% | R+7.5 | R+28.1 |
| 2012* | 58.9% | 38.3% | D+20.6 | D+0.6 |
| 2008* | 58.8% | 38.8% | D+20.0 | — |
* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.
What defines VT-SD-ESX?
VT-SD-ESX has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
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Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Swung 10.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | VT-SD-ESX | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 92.3% | 89.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 1.5% | 2.6% | 19.3% |
Black / African American | 0.6% | 1.1% | 12.2% |
Asian | 0.6% | 1.8% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% | <0.1% | 0.2% |
Who lives in Vermont State Senate District ESX? 22,247 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.