Leans Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968
POPULATION
736K
VAP
528K
TURNOUT
64.0%
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely R
GOVERNOR
Dunleavy
(R)
2024 PRES
R+13.1
Place Story
Leans Republican since 1968
Evangelical edge: 35pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 23.2pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.