
Safe Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980
POPULATION
5.1M
VAP
3.8M
TURNOUT
59.3%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
GOVERNOR
Ivey
(R)
2024 PRES
R+30.5
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 58pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 70.0pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.