Safe Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1964
POPULATION
681K
VAP
520K
TURNOUT
62.7%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
2024 PRES
D+83.8
Place Story
Reliably Democratic since 1964
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Demographically distinctive: 42% Black (+30pp vs national)
Biggest swing: D+10.2 in 1984
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.