Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
POPULATION
12.7M
VAP
9.6M
TURNOUT
58.5%
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely D
GOVERNOR
Pritzker
(D)
2024 PRES
D+10.9
Place Story
Leans Democratic since 1992
Ticket-splitting: President ran 32.6pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 24pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.