
Safe Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992
POPULATION
6.2M
VAP
4.7M
TURNOUT
64.6%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
GOVERNOR
Moore
(D)
2024 PRES
D+28.5
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 46.3pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 29% Black (+17pp vs national)