
Competitive — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024
POPULATION
10.1M
VAP
7.7M
TURNOUT
73.3%
COMPETITIVENESS
Tossup
GOVERNOR
Whitmer
(D)
2024 PRES
R+1.4
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 18.7pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.