Leans Democratic — voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988
POPULATION
19.9M
VAP
15.2M
TURNOUT
55.2%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
GOVERNOR
Hochul
(D)
2024 PRES
D+13.2
Place Story
Catholic edge: 50pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 28.6pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.