Safe Republican — voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968
POPULATION
3.4M
VAP
2.4M
TURNOUT
63.1%
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
GOVERNOR
Cox
(R)
2024 PRES
R+21.2
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: President ran 29.9pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 75% non-Hispanic white (+17pp vs national)